Central to the presidential campaigns of [The Republican nominee] and Ted Cruz has been the claim that the Affordable Care Act has been a complete failure, and that the only way to save the country from this scourge is to replace it with something they design.
It’s worth examining the big myths they are peddling about the Affordable Care Act and also their ill-conceived plans of what might replace it.
Millions of people have lost their insurance: In January, Mr. Cruz claimed that “millions of Americans” had lost their health insurance because of the health reform law. He even claimed to be one of them, saying “our health care got canceled” because Blue Cross Blue Shield left the individual market in Texas.
Insurers did stop offering some plans after the law took effect, including those that didn’t provide required benefits like maternity care or that charged higher premiums to older or sicker people. But people with those plans had the opportunity to sign up for others. And over all, the law has drastically reduced the number of Americans who lack health insurance. According to the Census Bureau, the number of uninsured Americans dropped by 10 million between 2010, when the law passed, and 2014. While critics said employers might stop offering health insurance because of the law, three million people actually gained coverage through their employers between 2010 and 2014.
Incidentally, Mr. Cruz never lost his health insurance. Blue Cross Blue Shield did cancel his particular plan, but it automatically moved him and his family to a new one. A Cruz spokeswoman said the senator had been misinformed by his insurance broker.
Millions of people have lost their jobs: Mr. Cruz has called the Affordable Care Act “the biggest job-killer in this country” and said “millions of Americans have lost their jobs, have been forced into part-time work” because of it. This is false. The unemployment rate has fallen since the law took effect, PolitiFact notes, as has the number of people working part time when they would rather work full time. A2015 study using data from the Current Population Survey found that the law “had virtually no adverse effect on labor force participation, employment or usual hours worked per week through 2014.”
Reduce costs by weakening state regulations: [The Republican nominee] frequently talks about his plan to “get rid of the lines around the states” to foster competition among insurance companies. Customers in states where insurance is heavily regulated, the thinking goes, would be able to save money if they could purchase coverage from insurers based in states with fewer rules. Mr. Cruz, too, supports allowing people to buy insurance across state borders — it’s one of the few proposals he’s offered for replacing the health law if it is repealed.
But the biggest obstacle stopping insurers from setting up in more states is not regulation; it’s the difficulty of establishing a network of providers in a new market. And such a structure would destroy the longstanding ability of states to regulate health insurance for their populations. Some states, for instance, require coverage for infertility treatment and others have chosen not to. Allowing cross-border plans would encourage insurers to base themselves in low-regulation states, and the result might be a proliferation of poor-quality plans.
The Affordable Care Act is not perfect. Premiums for plans on the exchanges rose between 2015 and 2016 and are likely to rise again next year. A few insurers have left the exchange market, raising concerns in some quarters that more companies might follow.
But the law has helped millions of Americans, especially low-wage workers like cashiers, cooks and waiters who previously struggled to pay for coverage. In inventing problems that don’t exist and proposing solutions that won’t help, [The Republican nominee] and Ted Cruz show that they don’t care about helping Americans get health care, which has never been their interest. They want to trash the Affordable Care Act, and they’re willing to mislead the public any way they can.
Update (November 5, 2016): A report from the Centers for Disease Control finds that the uninsured rate is now about 9 percent, down 5 points since ACA took effect.Update (June 1, 2017): A study finds that single-payer health insurance saves money.
Update (December 22, 2017): Despite the sabotage, enrollment for 2018 through the exchanges is down only 4 percent.
Update (January 17, 2018): About 3.2 million Americans lost health insurance in the past year.
The percentage of American adults who aren't covered by health insurance rose from 10.9 percent in the final fiscal quarter of 2016 to 12.2 percent in the final fiscal quarter of 2017, according to a survey by Gallup and Sharecare.Update (July 4, 2018): Jonathan Cohn and Jeffrey Young report that Republican sabotage is working.
[T]he future of the Affordable Care Act remains in the hands of officials and lawmakers determined to undermine it ― and then cite its shortcomings as reason to wreck it even more.Meanwhile in a widely reported story, a women who was rescued by fellow passengers from having her leg pinned by a train asked them not to call an ambulance because she couldn't afford it. "I have terrible insurance."
Update (July 8, 2018): Republicans never stop looking for ways to screw people.
Update (August 5, 2018): New rules on "short term" health insurance plans amount to another form of ACA sabotage.
Update (December 15, 2018): An "insane" ruling by a federal judge in Texas says ACA is unconstitutional because the fine on the individual mandate was reduced to zero and is therefore no longer a tax.
Update (January 25, 2019): They couldn't kill ACA, but Republican sabotage helps push the uninsured rate back up.
Update (July 26, 2019): A study from the National Bureau of Economic Research finds that the Medicare expansion provided by ACA reduced mortality by 0.2 percent. But since the Supreme Court allowed states to opt out of the expansion, 15,600 people died unnecessarily.
Update (August 2, 2019): Some candidate claimed that Medicare for All would force hospitals to shut down. Turns out most of the rural hospitals in financial difficulty are in the states that refused to expand Medicaid.
Update (December 18, 2019): The U.S. Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit upheld most of last year's ruling from Texas that the ACA individual mandate is now unconstitutional. An appeal will to the Supreme Court. Maybe it should be scrapped to force the issue on Medicare for All.
Update (August 8, 2020): Fuckface has the gall to propose an executive order "requiring health insurance companies to cover all pre-existing conditions" even as the Administration argues at the Supreme Court to overturn ACA which already requires that.
Update (June 17, 2021): The Supreme Court overturns the Texas decision 7 to 2.
Instead of a ruling on the constitutionality of the mandate or the necessity of striking down the whole law, rather than parts, the justices limited themselves to the standing question. Since the mandate penalty is now zero, the justices ruled, nobody is suffering an injury that requires the court to act.