Thursday, May 3, 2018

Bering Sea Ice

A report from the International Arctic Research Center shows that ice cover in the Bering Sea shattered the previous record low.


Update (May 5):  Mark Serreze writes about the melting arctic. Nature is breaking and freshwater methane emissions are becoming more prominent. And Nawabshah, Pakistan reached 122.4 degrees Fahrenheit on April 30.

Update (May 19):  A study published in Weather and Climate Extremes finds that unusually warm temperatures in the Arctic can't be explained without human induced greenhouse gas emissions.

Saturday, April 28, 2018

Government of Greed

Could it be that all the reality-show plot twists are simply a distraction from the real story? Joy Crane and Nick Tabor document a vast amount of corruption with an introduction by David Cay Johnston.
More than at any time in history, the president of the United States is actively using the power and prestige of his office to line his own pockets: landing loans for his businesses, steering wealthy buyers to his condos, securing cheap foreign labor for his resorts, preserving federal subsidies for his housing projects, easing regulations on his golf courses, licensing his name to overseas projects, even peddling coffee mugs and shot glasses bearing the presidential seal.
Conor Lynch points out how the philosophy of greed dominates American culture.
Throughout his life [von Clownstick] has been driven by greed and self-interest, and in the world of business this mentality has served him well. As the owner of his own company, [Fuckface] ran things with an iron fist, which partly explains his authoritarian style and why he has had such a difficult time adjusting to running a democratic government where his power is limited by checks and balances. [His] corrupt and self-serving administration should put to rest the notion that government ought be run like a private, for-profit company, or that managing a business (or, better yet, having a lot of money) qualifies one to run a country. Of course, it probably won't.
Update (April 29):  Michelle Wolf doesn't want us to forget the media of greed either.
I think what no one in this room wants to admit is that [Dear Leader] has helped all of you. He couldn’t sell steaks or vodka or water or college or ties or Eric. But he has helped you. He’s helped you sell your papers and your books and your TV. You helped create this monster and now you’re profiting off of him. And if you’re going to profit off of [Fuckface], you should at least give him some money because he doesn’t have any.

Sunday, April 22, 2018

Identity versus Issues

Amanda Marcotte explains the breakdown of political discourse.
[T]rolling liberals is no longer considered just a fun sport, but the ultimate purpose of conservative politics. The idea of making a positive argument in favor of conservative values has atrophied, leaving only the desire to troll in its place.
Some might talk about "making American great again", but it's not a positive vision.
[T]he American right has devolved into a nihilistic movement, prepared to tear down the country rather than share it fairly with women, LGBT people and people of color.
Even so, Uwe Bott finds signs of hope that the situation can be altered.
[M]aybe, just maybe, the ruthlessness and inconsiderateness of [Orangeman] has awakened the very forces that will possibly change the United States for the better.
Meanwhile, Sophia Tesfaye demonstrates how Republicans drag their feet on helping people if it means they might gain some advantage in the next election. And in an interview with Chauncey DeVega, Brian Schaffner finds a growing polarization among white people.
[Von Clownstick] seemed to benefit from receiving an unprecedented amount of support from whites without college degrees, a fact that was particularly important in states like Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. My research suggests that this support was strongly driven by racial resentment and sexism among that exact demographic.
And Conor Lynch notes that even within the Democratic Party, "tribalism has infected our political discourse [with] party loyalty [taking] precedence over political values". Conor refers to a study by Lilliana Mason.
While issue-based ideology is founded on a set of beliefs and a unique worldview, identity-based ideology, as the term implies, is mostly about group identity. Not surprisingly, the latter is much more likely to bring about the kind of political tribalism and personal resentment that we commonly see today. It is the "otherness" of ideological opponents, Mason writes, “more than issue-based disagreement, that drives liberal-versus-conservative rancor.”
Mason's research finds that "conservatives are even more likely to be driven by group identity than liberals, even though they might actually agree with liberal or progressive positions on many issues".  Lynch says that polarization will only get worse if politics remains a "team sport" where compromise does nothing to help you "win". And so he argues for more voices like Bernie Sanders
who talks about the issues and offers progressive solutions that are popular with the broader public, while avoiding overheated partisanship, [and who] appeal[s] not just to liberals and young people in blue states but to many voters in traditionally Red states. Though identity-based ideology has grown more pervasive over the past few decades, there is still a strong underlying desire for issue-based candidates.
Update (May 5):  David Mislin links conflict over support for the Viet Nam war with the rise of evangelical conservatives.
As it became apparent that many mainline church leaders had embraced the anti-war position, it became equally clear that not all U.S. Protestants agreed with them.
Mainline Protestant denominations ... went into decline, losing nearly one in six members between 1970 and 1985.
In the same years, Evangelical churches grew by double-digit percentages. They welcomed Americans who had abandoned mainline denominations to protest the liberal views of clergy on many social issues, including the Vietnam War. These churches supported the religious right and its brand of conservative politics.
Update (July 9):  Paul Rosenberg examines the history of evangelical and right-wing hypocrisy. And John Fea seeks to understand the appeal of von Clownstick to his (former) fellow believers.
The social and cultural changes of the Obama administration — particularly regarding human sexuality — sent conservative evangelicals into a state of panic. They saw [Orangeman] as the GOP candidate best suited to protect them from the forces working to undermine the values of the world they once knew.
Evangelical support for [Dear Leader] is also rooted in nostalgia for a bygone Christian golden age. Instead of doing the hard work necessary for engaging a more diverse society with the claims of Christian orthodoxy, evangelicals are intellectually lazy, preferring to respond to cultural change by trying to reclaim a world that is rapidly disappearing and has little chance of ever coming back.
Update (September 14):  Haydar Khan suggests that "intersectionality" logically leads to greater divisions among left constituencies.

Update (November 5):  Lynn Parramore interviews Adolph Reed and they agree:
If politicians continue to focus on issues like race, xenophobia, and homophobia without delivering practical solutions to the economic problems working people face, from health care costs to the retirement crisis to student debt, [we could] end up continuing to move in the direction of fascism.

Friday, April 13, 2018

Slowing Ocean Circulation

Studies published in Nature report evidence that the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation has weakened by about 15 percent since the 1950s. It's at the lowest point in the past 1600 years.
Climate scientists have been concerned since the 1980s that rising global temperatures could throw a wrench in the conveyor belt–like system, with possibly stark climatic consequences. Sea levels could ratchet upward along the U.S. east coast, key fisheries could be devastated by spiking water temperatures and weather patterns over Europe could be altered.
Such concerns had been quelled over the last decade as climate models suggested this branch of the ocean’s circulatory system was not likely to see a rapid slowdown, which would slow any consequences. But [the] new studies ... suggest the recent weakening spotted by ocean sensors is not just a short-term blip, as some had thought. Rather, it is part of a longer-term decline that has put the circulation at its weakest state in centuries. The results imply climate models are missing key pieces of the puzzle, and that ill effects could be on their way.
Update (April 28):  Thom Hartmann explains how the slowing AMOC could impact Europe.

Monday, April 9, 2018

Finding Our Way

Patrick Lawrence explains the need to understand the details for how modern global capitalism plays out in our lives.
A state of ignorance prevails, and I do not resist the thought that this is just as intended.
Lawrence presents Edoardo Nesi's personal experience with a shifting economy.
“At the heart of our civilization we find a huge problem,” Nesi reflected when I met him in New York a couple of weeks ago. “We have lost our way, haven’t we?”
The daily grind of the news seems to have the effect of protecting the system from any meaningful change simply due to the shear volume of preposterousness. A trade war looms in which Republican voters might get hit hard and yet they would likely hold their leader blameless. The GOP will take a hit in the next election and yet the political divide will remain largely unchanged. The administration seems intent on taking advantage of such an implausible amount of corruption that they can escape accountability and sow the seeds of doubt by hounding press reports as "fake news". Lost our way, indeed.

Lawrence says it's not a matter of going back to correct the mistakes.
Globalization and the post–Cold War “order” — here I insist on the quotation marks — were fated from the first to fail because they were fashioned fraudulently and in the interests of too few. There is no going back from where we find ourselves, in my view. The project is to begin again and anew. I have always detested nostalgia as a form of depression, I should add, and consider now the very worst time to indulge in any.
“I’m very afraid, I’m very pessimistic,” Nesi said as we finished conversing. “I don’t think there’s any way forward.” One understands this, too. But pessimism prevails only when looking back. Face forward, and there are no more grounds for pessimism than for optimism. The future, by definition, will take whatever shape we in the present choose to give it. This we call history. The making of history is up to us.

Sunday, April 8, 2018

Receding Grounding Lines

The stunning image is evidence of bad news in Antarctica.
Eight of the frozen continent's 65 major ice streams had retreated by more than 410 feet per year—five times the average rate of retreat since the end of the last ice age.
The grounding line retreat reinforces concerns about a worst-case Antarctic meltdown scenario, with global sea level rising 10 feet by 2100.

Wednesday, April 4, 2018

MLK

Sarah Ruiz-Grossman offers some ideas for remembering King's legacy.
1. Don’t whitewash King’s words
2. Fight poverty and economic injustice
3. Stand up against mass incarceration
4. Step off the sidelines and take action ― especially if you’re white
5. Support Black Lives Matter