Monday, February 28, 2022

Becoming Uninhabitable

The second part of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report finds that

Human-induced climate change is causing dangerous and widespread disruption in nature and affecting the lives of billions of people around the world, despite efforts to reduce the risks.

Matt McGrath reports on major takeaways:

Things are way worse than we thought

Technology is not a silver bullet

The small window is closing fast

Whatever it is about our flawed "intelligence" that makes us as individuals resistant to change, plays out disastrously in terms of civilization. 


Update (March 2):  Eric Schank reflects on AR6.

Building on the previous findings, the report indicates radical action is now necessary to curb climate change after 30 years of insufficient governmental responses to the global threat since the UN first assembled the IPCC to assess the risks of human-induced climate change. Their message was clear then, and it is only more urgent now. Climate action is a matter of survival for millions of people.

Michael Mann is among those who continue to point out that action is still possible and that having agency is a way to counteract despair. It can be important to make the effort even if you still know it's a tough road ahead.

Update (March 4):  Jason Hickel notes a vivid illustration of climate responsibility versus climate vulnerability.

Update (April 5):  While there have been positive trends in the past ten years or so, the third part of AR6 is clear that massive emmissions reductions are still needed to reach climate goals. IPCC panel co-chair Jim Skea:

It’s now or never, if we want to limit global warming to 1.5°C. Without immediate and deep emissions reductions across all sectors, it will be impossible.

Update (April 8):  A chart compares effectiveness and cost of several mitigation options. 

Monday, February 14, 2022

Megadrought

A study published in Nature Climate Change finds that the persistent drought in the western United Statesis now the worst in at least 1200 years.
[W]e show that after exceptional drought severity in 2021, ~19% of which is attributable to anthropogenic climate trends, 2000–2021 was the driest 22-yr period since at least 800. This drought will very likely persist through 2022, matching the duration of the late-1500s megadrought.

Lead author Park Williams:

The results are really concerning, because it’s showing that the drought conditions we are facing now are substantially worse because of climate change. But that also there is quite a bit of room for drought conditions to get worse.

 

Sunday, February 6, 2022

Disappearing Mountain Glaciers

As part of a general trend, glaciers at high altitude on Mount Everest on thinning at rate 80 times faster than their rate of formation over the past 2000 years, largely through sublimation.